About

Julian Röpcke
Berlin, Germany

Bio: I am a German conflict intelligence analyst / online citizen journalist, who went by the alias of "Conflict Reporter" and now works under his real name. I follow geopolitical developments and conflicts since the start of the Iraq war in 2003. I was active in various forums like terroristmedia.com, tracking extremist organisations across the globe. Since 2011, I analyze asymmeterical and traditional conflicts via Twitter, for instance in Syria, Ukraine, Egypt, Israel, Iraq and Russia, trying to make sense out of what appears on the net from those wars. Feel free to read my analytical / investigative stories in that blog and follow my daily updates on Twitter.

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6 thoughts on “About

  1. Pingback: Шесть вопросов о появлении у русских оккупантов военно-воздушных сил - Vatnik & Pohmel

  2. Dear Conflict Reporter:

    Your website is very informative and extremely detailed. Thank you for your hardwork.

    I think, however, Your analysis of the situation in Ukriane however, fails to take into consideration a factor that affects both sides. This factor is that both sides only have a small number of fully committed combatants (thosde willing to make determined defenses or determined assaults).

    On a macro level, this has been apparent as Kyiev moves more combative National Guard batallion, companies and platoon from town to town while regular conscript units are held back. Likewise, rebel commanders have complained of large numbers of rebels loitering in rear areas, others refusing to press assaults, and have also had to replace less than zealous commanders etc.

    On a smaller scale, I think this explains the rapidly chainging an conflicting claims. Small groups of determined defenders, and in some cases moderately determined defenders quickly repulse numerous half hearted assaults. Likewise, small numbers of determined attacks can quickly force many times their number out of a position. Nearby units of the non committed refuse to come to the assistance of combative units that get trapped. As a result, a position can be quickly captured, lost, recaptured, then lost again as both sides employ and withdraw their small number of committed combatants.

    It also means that though both sides may have units consisting of thousands of men in an area, many might not be fully committed and are thus quietly not asked to press assault, or make determined stands. Accordingly, postions like the airport are both actively defended by and actively assaulted by relatively small numbers of men. This keeps casualtes relatively low.

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